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Centre of African Studies: Events


Mapping Transnational Conflict in North and West Africa

Mapping Transnational Conflict in North and West Africa
Speaker: Olivier Walther # University of Florida
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Date and Time
20th Jan 2021 16:00 - 20th Jan 2021 17:30
Microsoft Teams

African governments are increasingly confronted with new forms of political violence. The situation is particularly worrying in the Sahara-Sahel where violence is on the rise. This degrading security situation has prompted African countries and their partners to intervene militarily to stabilize the region and to prevent the spread of extremism and violence against civilians. However, these initiatives face many obstacles due to the transnational nature and geography of violence. Tensions regionalize across state borders when armed groups, defeated by counter-insurgency efforts, relocate to other countries. This study maps the evolution of violence across North and West Africa from 1997-2019, with a particular focus on Mali, Lake Chad and Libya. In the regions experiencing the highest levels of political insecurity, it identifies whether and how conflicts tend to cluster or spread, potentially across national borders, and what is the impact of foreign military interventions on the geography of violence. The work is based on a new spatial indicator of political violence designed to assess the long-term evolution of conflicts and provide policy options.

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